Why do people believe celebrities instead of experts?

You’ve probably seen news coverage of the debate over the safety of vaccines and whether they cause autism in children. In fact, you might have seen new-age medicine spokeswoman and former Playboy model Jenny McCarthy speak out against vaccines on Oprah’s hugely popular television show.

Actually, being honest here: if you’re reading this blog, I doubt you watch Oprah. But I’m sure you’ve at least heard about McCarthy’s appearance and her subsequent role as anti-vaccine crusader. In fact, most of you probably know that there’s absolutely no scientific evidence linking autism to vaccines, and the connection has been rightly written off as pseudo-science by all the real doctors and scientists.

David T. Tayloe, President of the American Academy of Pediatricians, had this to say about her:

I think show business crosses the line when they give contracts to people like Jenny McCarthy. If you give her a bully pulpit, McCarthy is going to make people hesitate to vaccinate their children. She has no medical or scientific credentials. It disturbs us that she’s given all these opportunities to make her pitch about vaccines on Oprah or Larry King or U.S. News or whatever. We have to scramble to get equal time—and who wants to see a gray-haired pediatrician talking about a serious topic like childhood vaccines when she’s out there blasting the academy and blasting the federal government?

And he has a very valid point. Most people don’t want to listen to him, or other experts like him. Fans of evidence like myself might, but the average person will be happy having the Playboy model tell them bad science.

Of course there’s no massive conspiracy among scientists, doctors, and pharmaceutical companies to poison children. There’s zero evidence that vaccines have anything to do with autism at all. The whole thing has been completely debunked, but you wouldn’t know it from watching television. Why? Why isn’t the evidence the final word on this? Can’t we just agree that McCarthy is a nutcase and move on?

It’s easy to claim that people are just uneducated about the science. Tayloe hints at this, claiming that one of the fundamental causes of the problem is that those bearing evidence are not given adequate screen time alongside the nutcases. This certainly an important point to make, but I doubt it is the true cause of the continued confusion on this and similar debates.

If I had to point out the real root of the problem, I’d say it has more to do the people themselves that represent both positions. Like Tayloe said above, the evidence-based side is represented by “gray-haired pediatricians,” while the new-age side is represented by actors, models, and celebrities. Picture a “gray-haired pediatrician” next to a Playboy model on television, and you get the idea. It seems average people will take the word of celebrities over the word of scientists any day.

And that brings me to the question I asked in the title of this post. I asked it because I really don’t know the answer.  I thought it might be that people feel the celebrities are more like themselves, but that’s demonstrably false for the average person. It could be a distrust of intellectuals (as seems to be common among the politically conservative), but I don’t understand the cause of that either, so it just pushes the problem back.

Perhaps I’ll never know. But what do we do about it? Fighting the symptoms seems to be the best we can do at this point — do our best to educate people about the science, get experts on television next to the idiots, etc. It may not address the root of the problem, but it seems to be the least we can do.

Posted in Atheism, Current events, Noteworthy, Opinion | Tagged , | 3 Comments

Richard Feynman on poets

Poets say science takes away from the beauty of the stars — mere globs of gas atoms. Nothing is “mere”. I too can see the stars on a desert night, and feel them. But do I see less or more? The vastness of the heavens stretches my imagination — stuck on this carousel my little eye can catch one-million-year-old light. A vast pattern — of which I am a part… What is the pattern or the meaning or the why? It does not do harm to the mystery to know a little more about it. For far more marvelous is the truth than any artists of the past imagined it. Why do the poets of the present not speak of it? What men are poets who can speak of Jupiter if he were a man, but if he is an immense spinning sphere of methane and ammonia must be silent?

~ Richard Feynman

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I hate Internet Explorer 6

Pretty much every designer says this, and with good reason. IE6 is around 8 years old now, and severely out of date. Designing around its bugs is a royal pain in the ass, and it’s necessary to do so because IE6 still has such a large userbase; 33%, by this source, as of March of this year. Additionally, the type of site you run will dictate the type of people who visit your site, and thus, the type of browser those people run when they visit your site. A web development site will probably see much less than the above-mentioned 33% IE6 traffic, while a site aimed at a non-tech-savvy audience might see even more than the above 33%. In other words, making your site work in IE6 is definitely a necessity.

I mention this because one solution that feels very satisfying is just giving up on IE6, and I admit to being tempted to do this. If every designer started doing this, the thought is that IE6 users would be persuaded to upgrade because of all the websites that would not render correctly in their browser. This will not work, however, because it ignores one of the largest groups of users still stuck with IE6; employees forced to use the outdated browser due to company policy. At any rate, any user still using IE6 without being forced to probably doesn’t know any better, and these users are the hardest to convince to change, and the most likely to blame the website rather than their browser for rendering incorrectly. And, again, the thought of sacrificing ~33% of web traffic to my website (well, much less than 33% in my case, but still) just to make a point doesn’t seem like a very good idea once I really think about it. As I said above, designing for IE6 is a necessity.

So, what do we do about it? Nothing, near as I can tell. We just have to keep slogging through and designing for IE6, hoping the usage numbers keep getting smaller. I, for one, am getting lazier in my IE6 hacks, sometimes leaving off things or stopping when it mostly works rather than working until it looks identical (IE6 users are rare on my websites, according to server logs). It sucks, but it’s just part of the job.

Posted in Opinion, Tech and games | Tagged , , | 2 Comments

Is Twitter really good for anything?

Maybe, maybe not. Regardless, I still use it.

Everyone’s heard of Twitter. Senators use it, newscasters blabber about it, but what is it? This is as simple as I can state it: Twitter is a service where you (the user) post 140 character messages, which are meant to update people following you (subscribed to your updates, etc) about what you are currently doing. You can also search messages and reply to other messages and do a few other neat things with third-party applications (I’ll cover this later). The prompt you see is “What are you doing?”, and your job is to explain that in 140 characters or less in your message. Anyone following your updates will now be aware of whatever you are doing at the moment, if all goes according to plan.

Sounds rather lame, I have to admit. Why not just use IM, or SMS messages, or post on a blog or bulletin board? There are a million other ways to accomplish this task. Twitter seems pretty unnecessary.

There are a few good (mostly) legitimate reasons to use it, however. Chief among them, in my book: if you’re a geek and you’re into trendy technology, Twitter is the cat’s pajamas. One side-effect of its popularity among the tech-savvy is that a whole sub-culture has grown up out of developing cool, innovative applications for use with Twitter — lots of which use the very hip Adobe Air framework, which allows for visually impressive interfaces, seamless installs, and cross-platform executables. My favorite app has to be TweetDeck, which not only greatly improves on the Twitter interface, but adds much more functionality, including integration with Facebook.

For me, this was the only reason I decided to join Twitter, and that was after putting it off for at least a year. I felt the whole concept reeked of narcicissm and self-centeredness, and that the short message length would prevent me from saying anything of value. Both turned out to be partially true to some extent — beware those who brag about Twitter followers or try to share philosophical wisdom through sound bites — but my mistake was that I was confusing Twitter with a blogging platform. Twitter isn’t meant to replace blogging, despite being labeled a “micro-blogging” platform. At least, it’s not meant to replace blogging in the way I do it. After I realized this, I came to like Twitter for what it is.

For me, Twitter has become an easy way to keep in touch with what my friends are doing. Not in the annoying, minute-to-minute update on every minute detail of your life way that I feared, luckily. Rather, the messages tend to be slightly more broad, such as “There’s a lan at X’s house tonight” or “Hey, I found this cool thing.” In other words, it’s a way for me to keep track of people, and let them keep track of me.

Sure, it’s not essential, and sure some people take it way too far, but that’s always true of these things. Twitter is just a victim of its own hype, in a way. If you listen to the way it’s covered in the press, it seems like it’s the next greatest thing. Well, it probably isn’t, but it’s a neat little tool worth checking out.

P. S. Some famous people have great tweets. I genuinely enjoy following (of Nine Inch Nails) and (of Mythbusters); they always have something interesting to say. Additionally, I recommend you follow and .

Posted in Noteworthy, Opinion, Tech and games | Tagged , | 3 Comments

Old statistics joke

A company dealing in statistical analysis is hiring. Three recent graduates are invited for an interview: one has a degree in mathematics, another one in computer science, and the third one obtained his B.Sc. in statistics.

All three are asked the same question: “What is one third plus two thirds?”

The mathematician: “It’s one.”

The computer scientist takes out his pocket calculator, punches in the numbers, and replies: “It’s 0.999999999.”

The statistician: “What do you want it to be?”

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Gay marriage remains banned in California

Today, the California Supreme Court upheld Proposition 8′s ban on gay marriage, but also ruled that same-sex couples already married will remain married under state law.

Proposition 8 passed with a 52% majority, overturning a previous ruling by the California Supreme Court last May to allow same-sex marriage. around 18,000 couples married before the ban were effectively left in limbo. This decision dictates the fate of those already married, which I’m grateful for.

This whole thing still seems ridiculous to me, though. Why shouldn’t gay marriage be legal? We always hear from conservatives claiming they’re “not homophobic” but just “don’t approve of the lifestyle,” or they prefer to “support traditional marriage,” but these arguments don’t explain how gay marriage will effect them.  If you don’t like gay marriage, don’t have one! Why would you care if someone else does? What is it to you? To me, this all just looks like a thin layer of rationalization covering up plain bigotry — specifically, as the massive support from the Mormon church in the Prop. 8 campaign shows, religiously-motivated bigotry.

Beyond all this, though, there’s another aspect to this issue that I don’t think is discussed enough. In fact, I almost neglected to mention it, after reiterating my rant about gay marriage. One of the talking points of Prop. 8 supporters was that the “activist judges” had approved gay marriage against the will of the population. If you define the population as 52%, this is true. But since when do we deprive the rights of the minority based on the will of the majority? What if Brown v. Board of Education had been put to a vote?

So, this court ruling is a bit of a disappointment, even if it isn’t surprising. We all knew this court case was a long-shot. Worse, now there’s a precedent that rights can be taken away from a minority with a simple 50% majority vote. Looks like our only chance now is to pass a similar proposition reversion Prop. 8.

One thing I’m sure of, however, is that the opponents of gay marriage will be on the losing side of this fight. History has shown that those who oppose civil rights ultimately lose out. As the older generation dies out, support for gay marriage will increase drastically, and we (the younger generation) will all look back on this issue the same way we look back at the era of segratation in the deep south.

Posted in Current events, Opinion | 2 Comments

Quotes from Charles Darwin

  • I can indeed hardly see how anyone ought to wish Christianity to be true; for if so the plain language of the text seems to show that the men who do not believe, and this would include my Father, Brother, and almost all my best friends, will be everlastingly punished. And this is a damnable doctrine.
  • If it could be demonstrated that any complex organ existed, which could not possibly have been formed by numerous, successive, slight modifications, my theory would absolutely break down. But I can find out no such case.
  • I have watched how steadily the general feeling, as shown at elections, has been rising against Slavery. What a proud thing for England if she is the first European nation which utterly abolishes it!
  • I love fools’ experiments. I am always making them.
  • It has often and confidently been asserted, that man’s origin can never be known: Ignorance more frequently begets confidence than does knowledge: it is those who know little, not those who know much, who so positively assert that this or that problem will never be solved by science.
  • There is no fundamental difference between man and the higher animals in their mental faculties.
  • It may be doubted whether any character can be named which is distinctive of a race and is constant.
  • The moral faculties are generally and justly esteemed as of higher value than the intellectual powers. But we should bear in mind that the activity of the mind in vividly recalling past impressions is one of the fundamental though secondary bases of conscience. This affords the strongest argument for educating and stimulating in all possible ways the intellectual faculties of every human being.
Posted in Atheism, Other | Tagged | 2 Comments

Finals.

Uhg.

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Python Code Completion in Vim

GVim Code Completion example

GVim Code Completion example

Using RopeVim you can achieve this very easily.

  1. Install python-vim and mercurial with your package manager. In ubuntu, you would type this:
    sudo apt-get install python-vim mercurial
  2. Download Alexander Artemenko’s easy installer script. Save it from the web, or copy+paste the contents into a new file.
  3. Navigate to the directory you saved the script to (in the command line… use the cd command to change directory), and run this command:
    chmod +x name_of_script.sh
    Replacing “name_of_script.sh” with the name of the script.
  4. Run the script by typing:
    ./name_of_script.sh
  5. At the end, you should be given a line to add to .vimrc, your Vim settings file. So, open it up with:
    gedit ~/.vimrc
    and paste the line in. If the file doesn’t exist already, create it.
  6. Open a python source file in Vim or gVim and open up insert mode (hit I). Press alt+/ to use the code completion! You will have to set a project directory before this will work, so if in doubt just press enter when prompted.

There you have it! Rope has lots more features, so be sure to read the readme. Thanks to Alexander Artemenko for the easy-to-use script.

Posted in Tech and games | Tagged , , , , | 4 Comments

Churchgoers more likely to support torture

A survey has found that those who go to church are more likely to support the use of torture, whereas those who were not affiliated with any religious organization are the least likely of those polled to support torture.

Here are the numbers: 54% of regular church goers said the use of torture is “often” or “sometimes” justified. For those who “seldem or never” go to church, 42% supported torture. Evangelical protestants were the most likely to support torture, at 60%. Those who identify at non-religious were the least likely to support the use of torture, at 40%.

Here’s the survey question: “Do you think the use of torture against suspected terrorists in order to gain important information can often be justified, sometimes be justified, rarely be justified, or never be justified?”

Around half those polled said it was often or sometimes justified, while a quarter said it was never justified.

I shouldn’t be surprised by this, but I am surprised. I’m not religious, so I can’t really understand, but I doubt Jesus would approve of torture.

Additionally, I’ll be sure to remember this statistic for next time a Christian asks me where my morals come from, as if being a Christian is the only way to be truly moral.

Posted in Atheism, Current events, Opinion, Other | Tagged , | 6 Comments